Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2.167259 2.498346 2.869250 3.316693 3.843353 4.445379 5.188283
2025-03-09 1.676820 2.114515 2.656449 3.381899 4.335299 5.556153 7.254885
2025-03-16 1.384626 1.851144 2.468013 3.353336 4.607645 6.345638 8.979193
2025-03-23 1.190699 1.667601 2.332268 3.341639 4.862833 7.113932 10.780778
2025-03-30 1.033111 1.503944 2.189690 3.282063 5.017710 7.736702 12.456168
2025-04-06 0.936628 1.412124 2.132997 3.332940 5.335444 8.644812 14.746796
2025-04-13 0.831141 1.291068 2.012681 3.260322 5.433389 9.197586 16.521718
2025-04-20 0.786125 1.258347 2.025361 3.403708 5.912102 10.474034 19.864811
2025-04-27 0.720929 1.184137 1.959328 3.399921 6.124338 11.297161 22.495508
2025-05-04 0.683968 1.152631 1.960708 3.513979 6.568180 12.628045 26.447213
2025-05-11 0.636239 1.096782 1.912144 3.527364 6.816555 13.608172 29.851635
2025-05-18 0.593095 1.044324 1.863284 3.532457 7.046566 14.585113 33.465047
2025-05-25 0.540215 0.974230 1.784379 3.489952 7.220322 15.583811 37.686884
2025-06-01 0.504070 0.932719 1.757477 3.556023 7.657610 17.312952 44.411648
2025-06-08 0.462424 0.875178 1.690838 3.525951 7.870150 18.556293 50.239342
2025-06-15 0.427632 0.826954 1.636515 3.513574 8.121170 19.953954 56.995559
2025-06-22 0.392397 0.773730 1.564957 3.450574 8.235872 21.024632 63.146277
2025-06-29 0.370764 0.746269 1.544799 3.504376 8.658360 23.039543 73.115024
2025-07-06 0.341260 0.698817 1.475045 3.427585 8.721482 24.048933 80.051372
2025-07-13 0.331059 0.692148 1.495854 3.579219 9.441759 27.206826 96.131549
2025-07-20 0.311148 0.661722 1.458261 3.575214 9.720158 29.069269 108.077678
2025-07-27 0.300709 0.651639 1.467299 3.695862 10.392803 32.409535 127.690976
2025-08-03 0.284794 0.627195 1.438776 3.710023 10.744712 34.766058 144.237994